Fed
Federal Funds Rate
Topic
N/A
Accuracy
Recent Predictions
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 26
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
Predicted Federal Funds Rate to be 3.1% by the end of 2027.
"3.1% at the end of 2027"
Dec 10, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to cut interest rates with a very high probability (around 90%) during the Wednesday FOMC meeting this week.
"Remember that we said that they're very very very likely to cut interest rates. Right now it's price..."
Dec 8, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is highly likely (96.2% probability) to cut interest rates by 25 basis points on September 17, 2025.
"And of course, right now it the probability is incredibly high that they're going to cut by 25 basis..."
Sep 15, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to implement a rate cut before the BPCON conference.
"I think we'll have a rate cut before BPON, if I had to guess."
Aug 20, 2025
Pending
The Fed funds rate is predicted to be 3.75% by the end of 2025.
"Three and three/4ers on the Fed funds rate."
Aug 20, 2025
Pending
Morningstar predicts federal funds rate will fall to 2.5-3% if inflation continues to cool and growth remains modest.
"A Morning Star, for example, sees the federal funds rate falling to 2.5 or 3% so long as inflation c..."
Jul 25, 2025
Pending
Federal funds rate is expected to gradually reach 3.5% or lower by the end of 2026, contingent on inflation remaining under control.
"Maybe we'll see rates get down to 3 and a.5% or even lower by the end of 2026. It's gradual and it'l..."
Jul 25, 2025
Pending
Federal funds rate is expected to gradually decrease to approximately 3.5% by the end of 2026, according to the Fed's dot plot projections.
"Well, according to the Fed's own projections, their dot plot, they expect rates to gradually come do..."
Jul 25, 2025
Pending
The 10-year Treasury spread over the federal funds rate is expected to increase to 100-150 basis points, and the Fed is predicted to lower rates at most one or two more times in 2025.
"I'd expect that spread to increase to 100 to 150 basis points and I expect the FED to lower rates ma..."
Jan 17, 2025
Pending
The Fed Funds rate has a good chance of being at 4.5% or lower within two months (by late Dec 2024).
"good chance the FED funds rate is going to be at 4 and a half% in two months at the very least and i..."
Oct 23, 2024
Pending
Federal Funds Rate to come down to 3.5% by end of 2025 and 3% by end of 2026.
"by the end of next year you'll come down to 3.5% and then eventually by 2026 it it should go down to..."
Sep 22, 2024
Pending
Federal Funds Rate expected to reach 3% within 1-2 years from September 2024.
"the eventual goal for the FED is to bring the rate down to about 3% and that will take about one or ..."
Sep 22, 2024
Pending
Federal Reserve to make two more 25 basis point rate cuts by end of 2024, bringing the rate range to 4.5%.
"by the end of this year they're going to have two more rate cuts of 25 basis Points each .25% each a..."
Sep 22, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at its September 2024 meeting.
"this is the meeting where the FED is going to cut interest rates"
Sep 13, 2024
Pending
The Federal Funds Rate is predicted to drop from approximately 5.5% to 3% by August 2025.
"the FED goes from you know where we're at right now close to 5.5% fed funds rate all the way down to..."
Aug 27, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to enter panic mode and rapidly cut interest rates to zero.
"the FED would be in full scale panic mode they would have to cut rates to zero rapidly"
Aug 27, 2024
Pending
Federal funds rate is predicted to drop from approximately 5.5% to around 3% by August 2025.
"the FED goes from you know where we're at right now close to 5.5% fed funds rate all the way down to..."
Aug 27, 2024
Pending
The federal funds rate is predicted to remain below 1% for several years following the market crash.
"we would be on fed funds rate under 1% for years to go in the future years to go"
Aug 27, 2024
Pending
Following a hard landing/market crash, the Federal Funds Rate is predicted to remain below 1% for several years.
"we would be on fed funds rate under 1% for years to go in the future years to go"
Aug 27, 2024
Pending
The Fed funds rate is predicted to be around 4% by the end of 2025.
"let's say the FED Cuts quarter after quarter after quarter throughout 2025 so then we're probably at..."
Jun 25, 2024
Pending
The Fed funds rate is predicted to be around 5% in January 2025.
"we're probably going to be at about we can call it about 5% on a Fed funds rate in January 2025"
Jun 25, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve does not expect to raise interest rates further in the current economic cycle.
"however they have also stated that they do not expect the rates to go higher in this economic cycle"
Feb 22, 2024
Correct
The current federal funds rate of 5.5% is the peak for this business cycle.
"I agree I think it is the terminal rate"
Feb 22, 2024
Pending
Two years prior to the video (around Feb 2022), the terminal federal funds rate for the current business cycle was predicted to be 5.25%.
"about two years ago I suggested that 52% was likely going to be the terminal rate of this business c..."
Feb 22, 2024
Pending
90% probability that the federal funds rate will start to decrease within six months (from Feb 2024).
"I would say there's about a 90% probability the federal funds rate starts to go down within six mont..."
Feb 14, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve's terminal interest rate for the current business cycle was predicted to be 5.5%.
"pal has said said that 52% is likely the terminal rate that was my expectation you know almost 2 yea..."
Feb 13, 2024
Pending
The Federal Funds Rate is predicted to remain high and might not be cut until May 2024.
"rates will stay high and might might not get cut until May"
Jan 31, 2024
Pending